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Thursday, August 23, 2018

CFA Level 2 Free Cash Flow Valuation in Equity Valuation - YouTube
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In corporate finance, free cash flow (FCF) or free cash flow to firm (FCFF) is a way of looking at a business's cash flow to see what is available for distribution among all the securities holders of a corporate entity. This may be useful to parties such as equity holders, debt holders, preferred stock holders, and convertible security holders when they want to see how much cash can be extracted from a company without causing issues to its operations.

Free cash flow can be calculated in various ways, depending on audience and available data. A common measure is to take the earnings before interest and taxes multiplied by (1 - tax rate), add depreciation and amortization, and then subtract changes in working capital and capital expenditure. Depending on the audience, a number of refinements and adjustments may also be made to try to eliminate distortions.

Free cash flow may be different from net income, as free cash flow takes into account the purchase of capital goods and changes in working capital.


Video Free cash flow



Calculations

Free cash flow can be calculated as follows:

Note that the first three lines above are calculated on the standard Statement of Cash Flows.

When net profit and tax rate applicable are given, you can also calculate it by taking:

where

  • Net Capital Expenditure (CAPEX) = Capex - Depreciation & Amortization
  • Tax Shield = Net Interest Expense X Marginal Tax Rate

When PAT and Debt/Equity ratio is available:

where d - is the debt/equity ratio. e.g.: For a 3:4 mix it will be 3/7.

Therefore,


Maps Free cash flow



Difference with net income

There are two differences between net income and free cash flow. The first is the accounting for the purchase of capital goods. Net income deducts depreciation, while the free cash flow measure uses last period's net capital purchases.

The second difference is that the free cash flow measurement adjusts changes in net working capital, where the net income approach does not. Typically, in a growing company with a 30-day collection period for receivables, a 30-day payment period for purchases, and a weekly payroll, it will require more working capital to finance the labor and profit components embedded in the growing receivables balance.

When a company has negative sales growth, it's likely to lower its capital spending. Receivables, provided they are being timely collected, will also ratchet down. All this "deceleration" will show up as additions to free cash flow. However, over the long term, decelerating sales trends will eventually catch up.

Net free cash Flow definition should also allow for cash available to pay off the company's short term debt. It should also take into account any dividends that the company means to pay.

Net Free Cash Flow = Operation Cash flow - Capital Expenses to keep current level of operation - dividends - Current Portion of long term debt - Depreciation

Here Capex Definition should not include additional investment on new equipment. However maintenance cost can be added.

Dividends - This will be base dividend that the company intends to distribute to its share holders.

Current portion of LTD - This will be minimum debt that the company needs to pay in order to not default.

Depreciation - This should be taken out since this will account for future investment for replacing the current PPE.

If the net income category includes the income from discontinued operation and extraordinary income make sure it is not part of Free Cash Flow.

Net of all the above give free cash available to be reinvested in operations without having to take more debt.


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Alternative formula

FCF measures:

  • operating cash flow (OCF)
  • less expenditures necessary to maintain assets (capital expenditures or "capex") but this does not include increase in working capital.
  • less interest charges.

In symbols:

F C F t = O C B t - I t {\displaystyle FCF_{t}=OCB_{t}-I_{t}\,}

where

  • OCBt is the firm's net operating profit after taxes (Also known as NOPAT) during period t
  • It is the firm's investment during period t including variation of working capital

Investment is simply the net increase (decrease) in the firm's capital, from the end of one period to the end of the next period:

I t = K t - K t - 1 {\displaystyle I_{t}=K_{t}-K_{t-1}\,}

where Kt represents the firm's invested capital at the end of period t. Increases in non-cash current assets may, or may not be deducted, depending on whether they are considered to be maintaining the status quo, or to be investments for growth.

Unlevered free cash flow (i.e., cash flows before interest payments) is defined as EBITDA - CAPEX - changes in net working capital - taxes. This is the generally accepted definition. If there are mandatory repayments of debt, then some analysts utilize levered free cash flow, which is the same formula above, but less interest and mandatory principal repayments. The unlevered cash flow (UFCF) is usually used as the industry norm, because it allows for easier comparison of different companies' cash flows. It is also preferred over the levered cash flow when conducting analyses to test the impact of different capital structures on the company.

Investment bankers compute free cash flow using the following formulae:

FCFF = After tax operating income + Noncash charges (such as D&A) - CAPEX - Working capital expenditures = Free cash flow to firm (FCFF)

FCFE = Net income + Noncash charges (such as D&A) - CAPEX - Change in non-cash working capital + Net borrowing = Free cash flow to equity (FCFE)

Or simply:

FCFE = FCFF + Net borrowing - Interest*(1-t)


10-1-1 Estimating Enterprise Value Using Free Cash Flow - YouTube
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Uses

  • Free cash flow measures the ease with which businesses can grow and pay dividends to shareholders. Even profitable businesses may have negative cash flows. Their requirement for increased financing will result in increased financing cost reducing future income.
  • According to the discounted cash flow valuation model, the intrinsic value of a company is the present value of all future free cash flows, plus the cash proceeds from its eventual sale. The presumption is that the cash flows are used to pay dividends to the shareholders. Bear in mind the lumpiness discussed below.
  • Some investors prefer using free cash flow instead of net income to measure a company's financial performance, because free cash flow is more difficult to manipulate than net income. The problems with this presumption are itemized at cash flow and return of capital.
  • The payout ratio is a metric used to evaluate the sustainability of distributions from REITs, Oil and Gas Royalty Trusts, and Income Trust. The distributions are divided by the free cash flow. Distributions may include any of income, flowed-through capital gains or return of capital.

Three Reasons Why Amazon's Cash Flow Is No Comfort
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Problems with capital expenditures

  • The expenditures for maintenances of assets is only part of the capex reported on the Statement of Cash Flows. It must be separated from the expenditures for growth purposes. This split is not a requirement under GAAP, and is not audited. Management is free to disclose maintenance capex or not. Therefore, this input to the calculation of free cash flow may be subject to manipulation, or require estimation. Since it may be a large number, maintenance capex's uncertainty is the basis for some people's dismissal of 'free cash flow'.
  • A second problem with the maintenance capex measurement is its intrinsic 'lumpiness'. By their nature, expenditures for capital assets that will last decades may be infrequent, but costly when they occur. 'Free cash flow', in turn, will be very different from year to year. No particular year will be a 'norm' that can be expected to be repeated. For companies that have stable capital expenditures, free cash flow will (over the long term) be roughly equal to earnings

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Agency costs

In a 1986 paper in the American Economic Review, Michael Jensen noted that free cash flows allowed firms' managers to finance projects earning low returns which, therefore, might not be funded by the equity or bond markets. Examining the US oil industry, which had earned substantial free cash flows in the 1970s and the early 1980s, he wrote that:

[the] 1984 cash flows of the ten largest oil companies were $48.5 billion, 28 percent of the total cash flows of the top 200 firms in Dun's Business Month survey. Consistent with the agency costs of free cash flow, management did not pay out the excess resources to shareholders. Instead, the industry continued to spend heavily on [exploration and development] activity even though average returns were below the cost of capital.

Jensen also noted a negative correlation between exploration announcements and the market valuation of these firms--the opposite effect to research announcements in other industries.


Looking at Company Financial Statements and Ratios: Operating Cash ...
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See also

  • Business valuation
  • Discounted cash flow
  • Enterprise value
  • Economic value added
  • Owner earnings
  • Weighted average cost of capital

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References

  • Brealey, Richard A.; Myers, Stewart C.; Allen, Franklin (2005). Principles of Corporate Finance (8th ed.). Boston: McGraw-Hill/Irwin. ISBN 0-07-295723-9. 
  • Jensen, Michael C. (1986). "Agency costs of free cash flow, corporate finance and takeovers". American Economic Review. 76 (2): 323-329. doi:10.2139/ssrn.99580. 
  • Stewart, G. Bennett, III (1991). The Quest for Value. New York: HarperBusiness. ISBN 0-88730-418-4. 

Free Cash Flow Template Excel Download Along with Excel Financial ...
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External links

  • Free Cash Flow: Free, But Not Always Easy, Investopedia
  • What is Free Cash Flow?, Morningstar

Source of article : Wikipedia